Friction Financeの‌価格TAO

Most traders are watching Bitcoin's price range. The pros are watching NVIDIA's earnings report. Right now, crypto isn't trading on its own. It's acting like a more sensitive version of AI and tech's available money. As a trader, this isn't about hype. It's about how you're set up and how quickly you can react. The Current Crypto Situation • The Fear & Greed Index is close to extreme fear. • Bitcoin is about 50% down from its $126,000 high. • Positioning stress has been building for weeks, like before capitulation phases. This isn't a calm period. Liquidity is shaky, and many are playing it safe. In this market, outside events matter even more. If NVIDIA Beats Expectations A good report backs up the AI growth story. Possible chain reaction: • People are more willing to take risks. • Tech stocks go up. • Riskier assets get attention. • Bitcoin tries to break past key levels. • AI-related tokens do well. For Example: • Bittensor (TAO) • Render (RENDER) • Akash Network (AKT) These tend to jump the most when AI gets hot again. When things are stressed, a good surprise can cause prices to jump because traders are already playing defense. That's when squeezes happen. If NVIDIA Falls Short If they miss revenue estimates, data center growth is weak, or their outlook is soft, the mood will change fast. Possible chain reaction: • Tech stocks sell off. • Money gets tighter. • Volatility increases. • Bitcoin loses support in the short term. • Altcoins do even worse. In fragile markets, bad news travels faster than good. Watch the first 60 to 90 minutes after the release. That time often sets the tone for the next two days. The Real Tie-In This isn't just about how people feel. AI and crypto have real overlap: • Bitcoin mining used to rely on NVIDIA GPUs. • Decentralized computing networks need GPU supply. • Render started as a crypto miner before switching to AI rendering and GPU networks. • Bitcoin miners are turning their facilities into AI data centers. Money, hardware, and the narrative are all linked now. When NVIDIA talks, it affects more than just chipmakers. It affects how people see computing demand. That goes right into AI tokens and indirectly into the broader crypto market. What's Important Tonight What analysts expect: • Revenue: $65.8 billion • EPS: $1.53 • Data Center revenue: $60.2 billion But numbers alone don't change positions. Jensen Huang's guidance is what really matters. • Capex outlook • Supply issues • How clear AI demand is • What he says about spending His tone drives risk appetite. My Perspective (Being a Trader) Don't guess. React. • If Bitcoin jumps with NVIDIA and holds gains → AI link is still strong. • If NVIDIA beats but Bitcoin fades → crypto liquidity is still weak. • If NVIDIA misses and Bitcoin doesn't care → they may be separating. How stable the correlation is tells the story. As a pro trader, it's not about being right. It's about seeing the first move and getting ready for the second. Since you usually trade momentum and positioning shifts, the real advantage tonight is being fast, not sure. So, what's your plan—staying put, hedging, or getting ready for bigger swings?

$TAO price bouncing strongly from ~172-173 support (MA99 at 174.2 nearby), reclaiming MA7 (170.1) and MA25 (173.2) with solid green candle (+0.64%) and volume spike on upside. Downtrend exhaustion visible, bullish reversal forming if holds above 173-174 with follow-through. Momentum shifting upward. Entry Zone 172.5 – 174.0 Targets TP1: 180 – 185 TP2: 195 – 200 TP3: 220 – 230 Stop Loss 171.0 – 172.0

🚀 Top Trending Coins (Today) 1. Bitcoin (BTC) – Still the most searched and dominant asset; trending lists consistently show it at the top due to liquidity and macro influence. 2. STIBA – Likely a low-cap or narrative token (little mainstream data; trending lists often include micro-caps due to sudden volume spikes). 3. FT (Flying Tulip) – Appears on trending dashboards with moderate market activity and speculative interest. 4. ESP (Espresso) – One of the recently trending tokens with sharp short-term moves. 5. ENSO (Enso) – Showing strong short-term growth and rising searches in trending lists. 6. Solana (SOL) – Continues to trend thanks to ecosystem activity and strong developer adoption. 7. Ethereum (ETH) – Core Layer-1 with steady institutional and DeFi interest. 8. #HYPE – Momentum-driven token often highlighted for short-term trading setups. 9. XRP (#xrp ) – Frequently trending due to regulatory and payments-sector narratives. 10. $PENGU (Pudgy Penguins) – Meme/NFT-linked token with strong community-driven attention. 11. $PIPPIN – AI-narrative token gaining traction alongside the broader AI-crypto trend. 12. Aave (#AAVE ) – Major DeFi lending protocol often trending during DeFi rotations. 13. $TAO (Bittensor) – One of the hottest AI coins with strong recent returns and market interest. 14. #ONDO – Real-world asset (RWA) narrative token attracting institutional attention. 15. #SUI – Layer-1 ecosystem token gaining traction from developer activity and ecosystem growth (commonly cited among emerging L1s in 2026 narratives).

Bittensor (TAO): Similar Pattern Forming, Expecting Drop TAO might be falling more here, which looks similar to the previous time we had the same setup during the month of January. What we look for here is the price to fall to $143, where we would then look for a proper break of structure, which would then open a good opportunity for a short. Now if we start to see any struggle near $143, then we'll be looking for a market structure break and potentially another upside move, but that would be a secondary plan for us!$TAO

Bittensor (TAO): Similar Pattern Forming, Expecting Drop💫📢🚀 TAO might be falling more here, which looks similar to the previous time we had the same setup during the month of January. What we look for here is the price to fall to $143, where we would then look for a proper break of structure, which would then open a good opportunity for a short. Now if we start to see any struggle near $143, then we'll be looking for a market structure break and potentially another upside move, but that would be a secondary plan for us!$TAO