Greeks.live researcher: Currently, the probability of a rate cut in May is the highest. The market still tends to continue selling call options

Greeks.live researcher Adam posted on social media that the unexpected non-interest rate hike still brought pressure to U.S. stocks due to hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve. Currently, it seems most likely that there will be a rate cut for the first time in May, and the market will have to endure high interest rates for more than three months. The market is somewhat overly optimistic about liquidity. In terms of encrypted options data, with the smooth landing of interest rate decisions, all major short-term IVs have seen a slight pullback. It can be predicted that this weekend's date right IV will be below 30%. The market is relatively weak; despite currently low IVs, it continues to lean towards selling bullish options.