The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 95.9%.

Based on the "Fed Watch" by CME, the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in May is 95.9%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.1%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in June is 83.2%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 16.3% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 0.5%.