Greeks.live: This month's BTC market trend is highly likely to be strongly correlated with the macro news of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut
Adam, a macro analyst at Greeks.live, stated that 18,000 BTC options are due to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.67 and the biggest pain point being $70,000 USD, representing a nominal value of $1.25 billion USD. Additionally, 260k ETH options will expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.64 and the largest pain point is $3650 USD which equates to a nominal value of $1 billion USD. This week both the Bank of Canada and European Central Bank initiated interest rate cuts leading to good performance across risk investment markets; currently crypto markets are driven by both BTC ETFs and ETH ETFs. There's clear differentiation between macro factors and news events but overall market sentiment remains optimistic. Currently for all major terms IV revolves around 50% for BTC while it's about 55% for ETH; they have already fallen to reasonable levels so profits can be made from selling ETH to buy BTC as mentioned last week in order to take advantage of cross-currency IV differences. The trend this month is likely that BTC will strongly correlate with Federal Reserve interest rate cut news whereas ETH trends will mainly be influenced by ETF approval news.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
From yen rate hikes to mining farms shutting down, why is bitcoin still falling?
The recent decline in bitcoin prices is primarily driven by expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan, uncertainty regarding the US Federal Reserve's rate cut trajectory, and systemic de-risking by market participants. Japan's potential rate hike may trigger the unwinding of global arbitrage trades, leading to a sell-off in risk assets. At the same time, increased uncertainty over US rate cuts has intensified market volatility. In addition, selling by long-term holders, miners, and market makers has further amplified the price drop. Summary generated by Mars AI This summary was generated by the Mars AI model, and the accuracy and completeness of its content are still being iteratively updated.

The Economist: The Real Threat of Cryptocurrency to Traditional Banks
The crypto industry is replacing Wall Street's privileged status within the American right-wing camp.

Grayscale's Top 10 Crypto Predictions: Key Trends for 2026 You Can't Miss
The market is transitioning from an emotion-driven cycle of speculation to a phase of structural differentiation driven by regulatory channels, long-term capital, and fundamental-based pricing.

From Yen Interest Rate Hike to Mining Farm Shutdown, Why Is Bitcoin Still Falling
The market is down again, but this may not be a good buying opportunity this time.
