The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 94.3%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 94.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 5.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 27.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 68.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 4.0%.