The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January 2026 is 75.69%.

According to Jinse Finance, CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January 2026 is 24.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 75.69%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed by March next year is 41.4%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 50.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 8.1%.