The probability of a Fed rate cut in January has dropped to 19.9%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged until March is 44.7%.
BlockBeats News, December 22, according to CME "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year has fallen below 20%, currently at 19.9%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 80.1%. Last week, the probability of a January Fed rate cut had risen to 31%.
The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged until March next year is 44.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 46.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 8.8%.
The next two FOMC meeting dates are January 28, 2026, and March 18, 2026, respectively.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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