EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Slips below 183.00 as momentum weakens

EUR/JPY extends its losses for the fourth successive session, trading around 182.80 during the European hours on Wednesday. The currency cross remains subdued following the release of Germany’s Retail Sales, which climbed 1.1% year-over-year (YoY) in November, following an increase of 0.9% in October. Monthly Retail Sales fell 0.6% in November, against a 0.3% decline in October and the market expectations of a 0.2% increase.

The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests that the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 50.96 (neutral), confirming tempered momentum. The EUR/JPY cross remains above the rising 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), while it stalls beneath a softening nine-day EMA, pointing to consolidation after the recent advance.

The EUR/JPY cross may navigate the region around the initial support at the three-week low of 181.57, recorded on December 17, followed by the 50-day EMA at 181.31. Holding above the 50-day EMA would keep the medium-term uptrend intact, while a drop through the first floor could expose the deeper level.

On the upside, the EUR/JPY cross may rebound toward the nine-day EMA at 183.44. Recovery through the nine-day EMA could re-establish upside traction and refocus the topside path toward the all-time high of 184.95, which was recorded on December 22, aligned with the psychological level of 185.00.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)