Polymarket launches prediction markets for Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility

BlockBeats News, January 27, Polymarket has launched new prediction markets linked to the 30-day implied volatility indices of bitcoin and ethereum, allowing users to predict the volatility levels for 2026. The two markets are "What will the bitcoin volatility index reach in 2026?" and "What will the ethereum volatility index reach in 2026?", with settlement scheduled for December 31, 2026.

Early trading data shows that the market expects about a 35% chance that the 30-day implied volatility index for bitcoin will double from the current 40% to 80%, and a similar probability that the ethereum volatility index will rise from 50% to 90%.