Here's What Analysts Are Saying About The GEO Group (GEO)

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) is one of the best small-cap stocks with huge growth potential. On February 17, Noble Capital cut the price target on The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) to $28 from $35 while maintaining an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm stated that it is lowering its price target to take into account the slower-than-expected growth after the company reported fiscal Q4 results and delivered 2026 guidance.

JonesResearch also cut the price target on The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) to $33 from $37 on February 13, maintaining a Buy rating on the shares and telling investors that it is remaining bullish on all segments, especially the ISAP opportunity. However, it also stated that the ISAP ramp may continue to face headwinds until 100,000 detention capacity is full.

The rating updates came after The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) reported fiscal Q4 and full year 2025 results on February 12, announcing total revenues of $707.7 million in fiscal Q4. Net income for the quarter reached $31.8 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $126.0 million. Total revenues for the full year 2025 reached $2.6 billion, with a net Income of $254.3 million and adjusted net income of $0.86 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA for the year reached $464.4 million.

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) designs, finances, develops and supports services for processing centers, secure facilities, and community re-entry facilities. Its operations are divided into the following segments: US Secure, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision, Re-entry, and International Services. The US Secure Services segment comprises the US-based public-private partnership correction and detention segment, while the Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment offers services in the US. The International Services segment offers public-private partnership secure services operations in South Africa and Australia, and the Re-entry Services Segment comprises various community-based and re-entry services.

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