Mysterious account accurately bets on attack on Iran, Trump camp faces "insider trading" allegations

PANews March 2, according to Golden Ten Data, last weekend, as global traditional financial markets were closed, a large amount of capital flowed into prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi, as well as decentralized exchanges like Hyperliquid. Investors attempted to use these platforms to hedge risks or speculate on the follow-up impact of the US and Israel's attacks on Iran. However, this capital frenzy quickly turned into a public opinion storm. On Saturday, a large number of doubts began to surface on social platform X, accusing some insiders of profiting massively in the prediction markets by using advance knowledge of military strikes.

In response to the criticism, a White House spokesperson argued to the media that "the only special interest guiding the Trump administration's decisions is the best interest of the American people." In fact, crackdowns on insider betting related to international conflicts have already begun in some regions around the world. Facing the accusations, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour defended by stating that all fees generated from user participation in the aforementioned controversial markets would be refunded, and positions established before Khamenei's death would be forcibly settled at the last trading price. However, this "forced liquidation" decision did not quell the storm; instead, many users complained on social platforms that they had been set up by the platform.