Despite the ambiguity surrounding the US-Iran conflict, institutions generally expect limited impact on the US stock market

BlockBeats News, March 2nd: Before the Monday opening of the U.S. stock market, Trump made a TV speech stating “the U.S. military will continue to strike Iran until its objectives are achieved.” This tough statement caused a drop in U.S. stock index futures, indicating a high probability of a lower open on Monday. At the same time, many analysts expressed their views on the impact of this geopolitical conflict event on the U.S. stock market. The following is a summary by BlockBeats:

Bloomberg analysts Adam Hetts and Janus Henderson stated that current market pricing indicates the U.S.-Iran situation as a “limited conflict.” Unless it becomes prolonged, the impact is manageable, but volatility will continue to rise this week. Meanwhile, Wall Street is shifting to a “seek safety first, ask questions later” strategy. John Briggs stated that the scale of this attack exceeded expectations, leading some investors to sell stocks and turn to bonds, gold, and the Swiss franc.

A Citigroup equity strategist pointed out in a report to clients that the overall impact of the Iran situation is short-term, but the possibility of causing longer-term friction in the stock market cannot be ruled out. The report stated: “This new wave of volatility needs to be considered in light of a growing number of concerns. Specifically, the spending spree in the field of artificial intelligence appears set to continue, but the surge in productivity it brings is quickly engaging with the disruptive business models fueled by artificial intelligence."

In general, the market has reached a consensus on the lower opening of the U.S. stock market on Monday and strongly agrees that the market will face intense volatility under the current situation, with benefits for energy, defense, and gold stocks, while pressure on the technology and consumer sectors. However, most believe that unless there is an extreme escalation such as the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the selling pressure will be limited, and a short-term stabilizing rebound may occur.