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The probability of a ceasefire between the United States and Iran before March 31 is 46% on Polymarket.

The probability of a ceasefire between the United States and Iran before March 31 is 46% on Polymarket.

ForesightNewsForesightNews2026/03/03 08:58
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Foresight News reports that according to the latest data from Polymarket, the market estimates a 46% probability that the United States and Iran will reach a ceasefire before March 31, a 66% probability before April 30, a 79% probability before June 30, and a 21% probability before March 15. Currently, the total trading volume in this prediction market exceeds $7.79 million.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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