Analyst: Australia's Q4 GDP data complicates the outlook for interest rate hikes

Golden Ten Data reported on March 4 that Kieran Davies, Chief Macro Strategist at Coolabah Capital, stated that the Reserve Bank of Australia may have a complex view of the GDP data for the fourth quarter of 2025, as the data simultaneously shows strong domestic demand growth and weak consumer spending. He added that the Reserve Bank of Australia may regard the weakness in consumer spending as an anomaly, but these data still reduce the likelihood of a rate hike this month. Davies said the probability of a rate hike in March is roughly fifty-fifty.