As of today, the U.S. stock markets open at 16:30 Turkish time—a moment when heightened volatility is expected to begin. Investors are watching closely for the latest movements in equities and the potential ripple effects on cryptocurrencies. With escalating conflict in the Middle East causing fresh turbulence in energy markets and oil prices threatening the $120 threshold, Asian equity indices have suffered significant setbacks.
Oil Rally Drags Stocks Down and Spooks Crypto Traders
For the first time since 2022, oil has surged into triple-digit territory, triggering a notable downturn across equity markets. The ongoing hostilities involving the United States and Israel against Iran show no signs of abating. Concern is mounting over possible attacks on additional strategic sites, as even oil refineries have now come under fire, leaving once-defined red lines increasingly blurred.
Central Banks and Political Developments Move Into Focus
At 18:00（UTC+8）, the New York Federal Reserve will publish its newest inflation expectations—a report eagerly awaited by financial circles. Later in the evening, former President Donald Trump will participate in a high-level roundtable, followed by an address at the Republican Members Conference at 23:30（UTC+8）, where his remarks will be closely monitored. Over the course of the week, a number of critical indicators—including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report—are set for release, offering further clues on the shape of the Federal Reserve’s expected rate cut trajectory for 2026.
S&P 500 futures fell by 1% as Gulf oil producers moved to reduce output, pushing Brent crude 12% higher to $104 a barrel—levels not seen since the last inflation shock. Although early trading saw sharper losses in both oil-sensitive equities and bonds, partial relief arrived on news that G7 finance ministers are considering tapping emergency reserves to calm the market.
In Europe, the Stoxx 50 index dropped by more than 10% from its February peak, flirting with correction territory. While Bitcoin managed to hold the $68,000 mark, sustained negative momentum in U.S. futures may exert downward pressure on the cryptocurrency in the hours ahead.
Bitmine Immersion Technologies recently announced the acquisition of an additional 60,976 ETH last week, while Strategy also disclosed a billion-dollar digital asset purchase. Despite these large inflows, such developments have had little immediate impact on market prices amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty.
The G7 energy ministers are set to meet on Tuesday, as confirmed by French President Emmanuel Macron, who specifically highlighted the urgency of stabilizing oil prices in the coming hours. Their deliberations are expected to focus on potential coordinated action to defuse pressure in energy markets.
“If (Southern) Cyprus comes under attack, that is tantamount to an assault on Europe. France will deploy eight warships, one aircraft carrier, and two helicopter carriers across the Mediterranean, Red Sea, and Strait of Hormuz as part of its response.
G7 energy ministers will convene on Tuesday to assess the situation,” Macron stated.
