Citadel Securities predicts the market is misjudging the US and European interest rate paths, and the European Central Bank is unlikely to persist with rate hikes
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As the Middle East conflict pushed crude oil prices above $100 per barrel on Monday, interest rate swaps show that traders have fully priced in at least a 25 basis point rate hike by the European Central Bank before December, and are leaning towards another increase. Meanwhile, they expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by a similar magnitude to the European rate hike over the same period. Expand
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