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NVIDIA (NVDA) โ€” Overview March 9, 2026

NVIDIA (NVDA) โ€” Overview March 9, 2026

TradingViewTradingView2026/03/10 12:45
By:TradingView
๐ŸŸข NVIDIA (NVDA) โ€” Overview March 9, 2026
Entry price: $175
Related idea on TV ๐Ÿ”—
Yesterday there werenโ€™t many interesting trading setups.
Against the backdrop of the conflict in Iran and the energy crisis with oil supply disruptions, energy sector stocks jumped nicely, but I would refrain from buying them for now.
The times when we followed the saying โ€œBuy on highs, sell on lowsโ€ are long gone.
But right now NVIDIA stock looks quite attractive for buying
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๐ŸŒ MACRO: WAR AND OIL
February 28, 2026 โ€” the US and Israel launched Operation โ€œRoaring Lionโ€ against Iranโ€™s nuclear infrastructure. Today is day 10 of the conflict.
๐Ÿ”ด #Oil #Brent broke $100
๐Ÿ”ด Dow Jones is falling, S&P 500 under pressure
๐Ÿ”ด Iran has elected a new Supreme Leader โ€” Mojtaba Khamenei
Energy shock โ€” an external macro factor. It is pressuring the entire market, but does not change NVDAโ€™s fundamentals.
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๐Ÿ“Š POSITION & NUMBERS
๐Ÿ’ฐ Current price: ~ $179
Long entry: $174.97 and below (down to $171.5)
(expecting this within the week amid the energy crisis before the conference)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Market capitalization: ~$4.32 trln
๐Ÿ† AI GPU market share: 92โ€“94% (Q4 2025)
๐Ÿ“… 52-week high: $212.19
๐Ÿ“Œ Financial forecasts
ยท FY2026 revenue: $215.9 bn (+65% y/y)
ยท Q1 FY2027 guidance: +77% y/y (~$78 bn)
ยท Revenue CAGR to FY2029: ~32โ€“35%
ยท EPS CAGR to FY2029: ~37%
ยท Forward P/E (FY27): ~21.6x โ€” cheap for such growth
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๐Ÿ”ฌ GROWTH CATALYSTS
โ–ธ Vera Rubin โ€” shipments H2 2026, mass adoption by hyperscalers Q4 2026 โ€“ Q1 2027
โ–ธ SK Hynix secured ~70% of HBM4 orders for Rubin โ€” supply chain is secured
โ–ธ HBM crisis: memory prices may rise 50% in Q1 2026. For NVDA this is upside, not risk
โ–ธ Local AI inference โ€” memory-bound, not compute-bound โ†’ NVDA architectural advantage
โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ CHINA BACKGROUND: H200 + 25% TARIFF
January 28, 2026 China approved H200 imports for ByteDance, Alibaba and Tencent.
๐Ÿ“ฆ Approval volume: 400,000+ chips (~$9โ€“10 bn)
Current mechanism:
โ†’ Trump imposed 25% tariff (import fee) on chips transiting from Taiwan through the US
โ†’ Buyer list undergoes vetting by Dept. of Commerce
โ†’ Applies to H200 and AMD MI325X
โ†’ Blackwell chips (B200/GB200) remain banned
โš ๏ธ Complication: Chinese customs blocked shipments on Jan 17โ€“18 โ€” some orders are in limbo.
NVDA redirected TSMC capacity to Rubin production.
โ€œThoughtful balance โ€” a balanced approach that is good for Americaโ€
โ€” CEO Jensen Huang
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๐Ÿ›’ SMART MONEY IS BUYING
Leo KoGuan (top Tesla shareholder) bought 1 million NVDA shares (~$180 mn) and doubled his position to 2 million shares.
โ€œAI is not a bubble, itโ€™s only the beginningโ€
โ€” Leo KoGuan
Tesla in 2026: FSD launch in Europe and China + robotaxi expansion to 7 cities. AI chips are critical infrastructure for this growth. Demand for NVDA is structural.
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๐ŸŽฏ GTC 2026 (international conference) โ€” IN ONE WEEK
March 16โ€“19 ยท San Jose
Jensen Huang keynote โ€” March 16
Historically GTC is a positive catalyst for the stock. Expectations: details on Rubin, partnerships, and AI inference strategy beyond hyperscalers.
At the previous conference the company revealed first details about chips based on Blackwell Ultra, Vera Rubin and Rubin Ultra architectures, with releases planned for 2025โ€“2027.
The key theme of the next NVIDIA conference will again be the Rubin graphics accelerators. But in addition, the company may share new information about upcoming products based on the Feynman architecture, which are expected to hit the market in 2028.
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๐Ÿ’ก BOTTOM LINE
#NVDA is trading below the 50-day MA โ€” a consequence of the broad market sell-off due to the oil shock. But this is not a structural breakdown.
โœ… Monopoly position in AI GPUs โ€” 92โ€“94%
โœ… Revenue $215.9 bn โ€” record
โœ… Forward P/E ~22x โ€” anomalously cheap
โœ… GTC March 16 โ€” nearest catalyst
โœ… Rubin H2 2026 โ€” next product cycle
โšก๏ธ Position: LONG from $175
๐ŸŽฏ Targets: 230 - 250
Nearest target: $208 (~20%)
๐Ÿ›ก The company is holding strong. Macro shock is just noise.
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#NVDA #AI #investing #technology
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