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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 99.4%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 99.4%.

Odaily星球日报Odaily星球日报2026/03/10 23:07
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According to Odaily, citing CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 0.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.4%. By April, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 13.9%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 86.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.1%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 37.5%.

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