Bitcoin Second Chance narxiBTC

Another Friday, another $2.8 billion expiry wall. If you’re looking for a massive volatility nuke today, keep your eyes on the data.  📊 The Numbers That Matter • Total Notional Value: $2.83 Billion. • Bitcoin ( $BTC ): 25,000 contracts (~$2.4B). • Ethereum ( $ETH ): 131,000 contracts (~$436M). $BTC hit $97k but got rejected. With a Put/Call ratio of 1.2, bears are active. Despite the $130B pump this week, IV (volatility) is dead and volume is lagging. This isn't a structural bull run yet - just a reactive surge. Verdict: $100k is the goal, but $92k is the gravity. Expect a sideways grind, not a moon mission. Don't get liquidated by the "Max Pain" magnet 📉 Trade smart.

$BTC haven't moved alot, just stuck inside the range, as of now the cases remains the same and with that price formed the small uptrend channel, which is been broken and can go for a retest now.

🐳 BlackRock က ပြီးခဲ့တဲ့ ၈ နာရီအတွင်း Coinbase ကနေ $6,647 BTC ($638.09M) နဲ့ $4,179 ETH ($13.76M) ထုတ်ယူခဲ့ပြီး ပြီးခဲ့တဲ့ ၂ ရက်အတွင်း $9,346 BTC ($900.23M) ထုတ်ယူခဲ့တာတွေ့ရှိ 👀

Bitcoin (BTC) Current Market Situation and Analysis – January 16, 2026 As of mid-January 16, 2026, Bitcoin is trading in the $95,000–$96,000 range, showing a modest pullback after briefly testing highs near $97,000–$98,000 earlier in the week. The price has slipped approximately 0.5–1% in the last 24 hours amid reduced trading volume (down ~13%) and broader risk-off sentiment. This follows a strong rally from early-January lows around $90,000–$91,000, driven by short squeezes, institutional ETF inflows, and supply tightening. However, recent developments like the U.S. Senate postponing a key crypto market structure bill (CLARITY Act/Digital Asset Market Clarity Act) have weighed on momentum, stalling legislative optimism and prompting some profit-taking. Key Market Metrics Current Price: ~$95,500–$95,800 (fluctuating; check live sources for exact). 24h Change: Down ~0.5–1%, after weekly gains of ~5–6%. Market Cap: Approximately $1.91 trillion. BTC Dominance: Holding strong at 59–59.3%, reflecting continued capital concentration in Bitcoin over altcoins (no signs of a major "altseason" yet). Trading Volume: Lower activity, indicating a pause/consolidation rather than reversal. Fear & Greed Index: Neutral territory (~50–54), balanced but watchful for volatility. Recent Performance and Drivers Bitcoin surged past $97,000 mid-week for the first time in months, liquidating significant short positions (~$700M in some reports) and clearing overhead resistance. This was supported by: Ongoing exchange supply at multi-year lows (reduced selling pressure). Positive but inconsistent ETF inflows (e.g., recent flips to net positive ~$117M). Institutional accumulation amid expectations of lower rates and policy tailwinds. The pullback ties to: Senate delay on crypto bill, cooling regulatory hype. Risk-off moves in broader markets. Upcoming/ongoing macro data (e.g., labor reports, potential CPI echoes). Analysts view this as a healthy pause after breakout, with the market "moving out of long consolidation." Leverage remains moderate (neutral funding rates), avoiding overheating. Technical Analysis BTC remains in an uptrend on higher timeframes (daily/weekly), with structure intact above key supports. Recent action shows grinding against resistance in an ascending channel. Resistance Levels: Immediate: $96,500–$97,000 (recent highs/channel top). Major: $98,000–$100,000 (psychological barrier; next big test). Support Levels: Short-term: $94,200–$95,500 (channel floor/pivot). Deeper: $90,000–$91,000 (liquidity zone); below could target $86,000–$88,000 gaps. Indicators: RSI neutral-mildly bullish (avoiding overbought). Golden Cross on shorter frames supports momentum. Options open interest dominates futures (~$65B vs. $60B), suggesting maturing, less volatile derivatives market. Options expiry (~$3B notional today) tests breakout conviction—watch for volatility. Broader Outlook and Sentiment Short-term (next days/weeks): Binary around macro events. Hold above $95,500 keeps bullish bias for retesting $97k+ or pushing to $100k (Polymarket odds ~50–70% for January). A break lower risks deeper correction. Medium-term (Q1 2026): Bullish consensus, with predictions centering $110,000–$150,000 (base case), up to $185,000–$225,000 in optimistic scenarios. Policy liquidity, ETF demand, and supply shock remain tailwinds. Long-term: BTC as "digital gold" diversifier strengthens, with dominance signaling maturity. Sentiment leans cautiously optimistic fear in dips often creates buying opportunities. Accumulation continues quietly, but leverage and macro risks warrant caution.$BTC