Analyst Says XRP Could Explode If It Holds This 7-Year Trendline

Crypto markets rarely offer moments of clarity, yet XRP now approaches one of those rare inflection points. After years of compression beneath a dominant resistance structure, the asset is testing a level that has defined its long-term price behavior since 2018. This interaction could determine whether XRP enters a fresh expansion phase or revisits deeper structural support.

Crypto analyst ChartNerd recently spotlighted this setup on X, sharing a logarithmic XRP/USD chart covering 2018 through 2026. His analysis centers on a retest of a seven-year descending resistance trendline near $1.47. This trendline has capped every major rally since XRP’s historic peak, which makes the current retest technically significant.

The Significance of the 7-Year Resistance

Long-term descending resistance reflects persistent selling pressure across multiple cycles. XRP repeatedly failed to sustain momentum above this barrier, reinforcing its importance. When price breaks above such a structure and later retests it from above, technicians interpret the move as a confirmation test. Buyers must defend this level to validate the breakout.

If $XRP can defend this retest on its prior 7-year resistance trendline, the stage is looking set for expansion. Dipping below it with a strong confirmation means a POC on multi-year ascending support awaits. pic.twitter.com/4FjYrSeZTW

— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) February 24, 2026

If XRP holds above approximately $1.47 with convincing volume, the chart structure supports the case for bullish expansion. Logarithmic charts emphasize percentage-based movement rather than nominal price swings, which makes multi-year levels even more reliable. Historically, assets that successfully reclaim and defend long-term resistance often accelerate into new macro uptrends.

The Risk of a Breakdown

ChartNerd also outlines the alternative path. If XRP loses this retested trendline with strong confirmation, sellers could push the price toward the point of control along a multi-year ascending support structure. That ascending support currently aligns near the $0.50 region.

A decline toward $0.50 would not necessarily destroy XRP’s broader structure. Instead, it would signal prolonged consolidation within its established macro channel. Multi-year ascending supports often act as high-liquidity accumulation zones where long-term participants rebuild positions before a renewed advance.

Broader Market Context

XRP’s technical posture unfolds against a backdrop of evolving regulatory clarity and shifting liquidity conditions. Institutional participation, derivatives positioning, and broader crypto sentiment continue to influence short-term volatility. However, long-term trendlines often outweigh temporary narrative-driven swings.

The market now stands at a structural decision point shaped over seven years of price history. If buyers defend this retest decisively, XRP could transition into a powerful expansion phase.

If sellers reclaim control, the chart signals a measured retreat toward major support. Either outcome will likely define XRP’s next macro cycle and reshape investor expectations for years to come.