IMF President Georgieva warns: If oil prices rise by 10% and remain high for a year, global inflation will increase by 40 basis points

According to Jinse Finance, from March 6 to 9, 2026, IMF President Kristalina Georgieva made consecutive statements, issuing a clear warning about the impact of the surge in oil prices caused by the Middle East conflict on the global economy. She pointed out that if oil prices continue to rise by 10% throughout the year, it will directly push global inflation up by 40 basis points and drag down global economic growth by 0.1 to 0.2 percentage points.