Strategy (MSTR) – From $457 Crash to $140 Rebound: Bottom In?
By:TradingView
MSTR trades at ~$140.71 (down -0.24% intraday on 1H chart), stabilizing near multi-month lows after a brutal 2025–2026 correction. The stock collapsed from highs near $457 in mid-2025 to a bottom around $104 in early 2026, closely tracking Bitcoin's own drawdown during the "mini crypto winter."
Key observations:
- Extended downtrend from Aug 2025 peak → formed clear lower highs/lows through late 2025–Feb 2026.
- Recent action shows a strong bounce off the $104–$110 zone, with price reclaiming $140 and forming the first meaningful higher low in months.
- Volume picked up on the reversal, momentum shifting from deeply oversold to neutral-bullish.
Analytical buyer outlook:
- Upside trigger: Hold above $140–$145 and break $150–$160 resistance on volume — confirms reversal toward $180–$200+.
- Support to defend: $130–$140 zone; break risks retest of $104–$110 lows.
- As Bitcoin stabilizes and ETF inflows return, MSTR's leveraged exposure could amplify upside.
Verdict: Capitulation bottom appears in place. Early bullish reversal underway — buyers gaining control. Constructive setup on dips near $140; bias turning positive if $150 clears.
Key observations:
- Extended downtrend from Aug 2025 peak → formed clear lower highs/lows through late 2025–Feb 2026.
- Recent action shows a strong bounce off the $104–$110 zone, with price reclaiming $140 and forming the first meaningful higher low in months.
- Volume picked up on the reversal, momentum shifting from deeply oversold to neutral-bullish.
Analytical buyer outlook:
- Upside trigger: Hold above $140–$145 and break $150–$160 resistance on volume — confirms reversal toward $180–$200+.
- Support to defend: $130–$140 zone; break risks retest of $104–$110 lows.
- As Bitcoin stabilizes and ETF inflows return, MSTR's leveraged exposure could amplify upside.
Verdict: Capitulation bottom appears in place. Early bullish reversal underway — buyers gaining control. Constructive setup on dips near $140; bias turning positive if $150 clears.
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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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