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On March 1, the gold dark pool price experienced a sharp drop, after having risen on February 28 due to risk aversion triggered by the US-Israel attack on Iran. Economist Pan Helin analyzed that the death of Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei may change short-term market expectations. If the Iranian regime transitions smoothly, capital markets may reverse their expectations, leading to declines in gold and oil prices, and a rise in the US stock market, especially industrial stocks. However, the uncertainty of war could still cause further turmoil in Iran's situation.

According to AiCoin's real-time on-chain monitoring, between 11:55 and 12:25 today (UTC+8), the "pension whale (pension-usdt.eth)" reduced its BTC long position by 999 BTC, valued at $67.26 million. As of press time, the value of its BTC long position is $74,400, with an unrealized profit of $4,000. Whale address: 0x0ddf9bae2af4b874b96d287a5ad42eb47138a902

PANews, March 1—According to CoinDesk, since the United States and Israel launched attacks on Iran, more than a dozen Iran-related contracts have appeared on the prediction market Polymarket. The prediction market for whether Khamenei will step down alone has attracted a trading volume of $45 million. The trader account with the highest turnover is named “Curseaaaaaaa,” who profited $757,000 by betting “yes.” Four other traders also achieved six-figure profits respectively.