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$BTC Bitcoin Whales Defy $77K Drop as Large Wallets Surge 11% The number of Bitcoin ($BTC ) wallets holding at least 100 $BTC (roughly $7.7 million at press time) has risen to 20,229. This represents an 11.2% increase over the past year, from 18,191. On-chain data show that wallets of this size typically belong to whales, institutions, major investors, and highly capitalized long-term holders. The holdings indicate strong long-term conviction, given that Bitcoin has dumped by 27.2% in price over the same period ($105,574 to $77,000). Bitcoin whales display aggressive bullish bias More recently, Bitcoin experienced a major pullback, dropping from over $82,000 a week ago to $77,000. Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran have contributed to market-wide risk aversion, with Sunday seeing the largest single-day liquidation of bullish bets (over $700 million) since February 6. Last week also marked the first negative week in seven for ETF flows. According to CoinShares, digital asset investment products saw $1.07 billion in outflows, with Bitcoin accounting for $982 million. In the past year, Bitcoin has also experienced major volatility – literally halving in price from its all-time high of about $126,000 to $63,000 on February 28 – the day active hostilities began in the Middle East. Source: Trading View Bullish sign flashes According to the blockchain analytics platform, Santiment Intelligence, whales are showing steady resilience during a time when retail is exuding panic, fear, and skepticism. “Historically, rising whale wallet counts are viewed as a sign that key stakeholders still have confidence in Bitcoin’s future value and scarcity.” Source: Santiment Intelligence Additionally, bullish reversals typically form when retail fear sets in as whale accumulation rises. That said, the US-Iran conflict remains a major sentiment mover among institutions and retailers alike, causing price swings as consequential developments on the war roll out. We now wait to see whether whales will step in to offset selling pressure and hold larger positions, as has historically been a catalyst for a bullish trend.

$BTC Who Is Responsible for the Recent Drop in Bitcoin's Price? Cryptocurrency analytics company CryptoQuant stated that the recent selling pressure on Bitcoin is largely due to short-term investors who have suffered losses. The company’s latest analysis states that the price drop between May 16th and May 18th provided important signals about market psychology. According to data shared by CryptoQuant, the “Bitcoin Short-Term Investors’ Total Profit and Loss (Exchange Data, Last 24 Hours)” metric measures whether short-term investors’ $BTC sent to exchanges are in profit or loss. This indicator allows tracking whether market sell-offs are due to profit taking or panic-driven sell-offs. According to the analysis, the most striking factor in the recent decline was the significant imbalance between profitable and losing investors. In the last 24 hours, short-term investors who were in profit sent only about 112 $BTC to exchanges. In contrast, short-term investors who were losing money transferred approximately 15,000 $BTC to exchanges during the same period. Related News Senior Analyst Benjamin Cowen Warns Against a “False Rally” in Bitcoin It was stated that total short-term investor inflows to the exchange were approximately 15,100 $BTC , almost all of which consisted of coins sold at a loss. Thus, profit-taking represented less than 1% of total inflows, and selling pressure largely came from investors who stopped selling. CryptoQuant stated that the current situation constitutes a classic “weak hand cleanup,” meaning that weak hands are being eliminated from the market. The analysis indicated that with the price drop, investors who had recently bought lost confidence, losing positions were rapidly moved to exchanges, and the market absorbed this forced liquidity from the sell-off. The company stated that the critical issue going forward is whether the approximately 15,000 $BTC inflow due to losses will decrease quickly. If this selling pressure falls rapidly, it could mean a short-term market reset, while if inflows continue to increase, it could indicate that impatient capital is still exiting the market. *This is not investment advice.

$BTC Detailed Technical Report Published Following Bitcoin's Latest Drop: Where Is It Headed? In its latest report, cryptocurrency analytics company Glassnode stated that the short-term outlook for the Bitcoin market is beginning to weaken and investors are adopting a more cautious stance. According to the report, Bitcoin rose from above $60,000 to over $82,000. However, this rise was followed by a loss of momentum, and the price retreated back towards the $77,000 range. Glassnode noted that sellers have regained control in the short term. According to company data, selling pressure in the spot market increased significantly. Spot CVD data saw an 848.7% decrease, while spot trading volume increased by 4.2%. This situation may be due to increased short-term trading interest rather than investors’ bullish expectations. In the futures market, open positions decreased by 2.9%. Glassnode stated that this indicates investors are acting more cautiously in using leverage. Despite this, long position funding payments increased by 136.6%, suggesting that some investors are still expecting an uptrend. However, the sharp 278.7% drop in perpetual CVD data reveals that selling pressure in the market remains strong. Significant changes were also observed in the options market. A 42.75% increase in the Options 25-Delta Skew data was interpreted as an increased search for hedging against downside risks by investors. However, a 1.7% increase in open options positions and a 124.52% increase in volatility spreads indicated that the market expects more volatile price movements in the coming period. On the institutional investor side, sentiment from traditional finance sources was noted to be weak. The MVRV ratio in US spot Bitcoin ETFs fell by 6.1%, and net ETF inflows also deteriorated sharply. However, a 7% increase in ETF trading volume indicated continued trading activity in the market. Related News Institutional Investors Change Direction: They Sold Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), and Invested the Money in Seven Altcoins! "There Are Surprises!" Glassnode also noted that on-chain data was giving mixed signals. While the number of active addresses decreased, the increase in Entity-Adjusted Transfer Volume indicated that large-scale capital movements were continuing. The company argued that while long-term investors continue to increase their dominance in the market, the sharp weakening in NUPL and realized profit-loss ratios indicates a decrease in market enthusiasm and that investors are taking more defensive positions. The Glassnode report concludes by stating that while the overall structure of the Bitcoin market is not yet completely broken, the outlook has softened due to weakening momentum, spot demand, and speculative positions. The report also notes that options traders are seeking greater hedging against downside risks, although stable liquidity conditions and long-term investor strength continue to provide a degree of resilience to the market. *This is not investment advice.