Ouro: preço hoje (cotação em tempo real do Ouro em USD/onça)
1 onça de Ouro custa hoje 4797.080 USD (-0.74%).
Ouro: preço de hoje (USD/Onça)
Ouro: gráfico de preços em tempo real em USD/Onça (1 dia)
Ouro: preço por peso
- Ouro: preço por Onça4797.08 undefined
- Ouro: preço por Grama154.23 undefined
- Ouro: preço por Quilo154226.12 undefined
- Ouro: preço por Tola1798.33 undefined
- Ouro: preço por Tola (Paquistão)1927.85 undefined
Ouro: desempenho do preço hoje
- Atual4797.08 undefined
- Alta4834.05 undefined
- Baixa4772.33 undefined
- Variação-35.54 undefined
- Variação (%)-0.74%
Ouro price overview today
As of 2026-01-22 24:13 EST, the current price of Ouro is 4797.08 USD per ounce, a change of -0.74% from the previous trading day's closing price. Today's high for Ouro was 4834.05 USD; today's low for Ouro was 4772.33 USD.
Based on the current price of Ouro, you can buy 0.0208 ounces of Ouro for 100 USD; 0.0417 ounces of Ouro for 200 USD; 0.1042 ounces of Ouro for 500 USD; 0.2085 ounces of Ouro for 1000 USD; and 2.0846 ounces of Ouro for 10,000 USD. This calculation does not include transaction fees.
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What caused today's Ouro price fluctuations?
As principais razões para a volatilidade do preço do ouro hoje podem ser resumidas da seguinte forma:
1. Dados económicos dos EUA e pressão inflacionista
A volatilidade de hoje é impulsionada principalmente pela divulgação de indicadores económicos-chave dos EUA, incluindo os dados mais recentes do CPI (Índice de Preços ao Consumidor) e do PPI (Índice de Preços ao Produtor). Números de inflação acima do esperado aumentaram as preocupações de que a Reserva Federal possa manter uma política de taxas de juro "altas por mais tempo", exercendo pressão imediata sobre ativos sem rendimento, como o ouro.
2. Mudança nas expectativas de política monetária
O sentimento do mercado está a oscilar à medida que os investidores recalibram a probabilidade de cortes nas taxas de juro em 2026. Comentários agressivos de vários membros da Reserva Federal sobre a persistência da inflação levaram a um aumento dos rendimentos dos Treasuries dos EUA, fazendo com que o ouro enfrente resistência técnica e vendas intradiárias.
3. Fortalecimento do Índice do Dólar dos EUA (DXY)
O dólar americano mostrou força significativa hoje, atingindo máximos de vários meses em relação a uma cesta de moedas principais. Como o ouro é cotado em USD, um dólar mais forte torna o metal mais caro para compradores internacionais, levando a uma correlação inversa direta e a oscilações de preço acentuadas durante a sessão de negociação de Nova Iorque.
4. Prémio de risco geopolítico e fluxos de refúgio seguro
A instabilidade contínua na Europa Oriental e no Médio Oriente continua a fornecer um "piso" para os preços do ouro. Qualquer escalada nos conflitos regionais desencadeia compras súbitas de ativos de refúgio, compensando o impacto negativo de um dólar forte e contribuindo para a elevada volatilidade observada no mercado à vista.
5. Atividade dos bancos centrais e reequilíbrio institucional
Relatórios sobre a acumulação sustentada de ouro por bancos centrais globais, especialmente em mercados emergentes, continuam a apoiar a ação de preço a longo prazo. No entanto, a volatilidade de hoje foi agravada por grandes movimentos de reequilíbrio institucional e realização de lucros por fundos de hedge após o ouro se aproximar de níveis de resistência psicológica chave.
6. Resistência técnica e sinais de "sobrecompra"
Do ponto de vista da análise técnica, o ouro atingiu o limite superior do seu canal de negociação atual. Analistas de grandes bancos de investimento observaram que o ouro entrou em território de "sobrecompra" no Índice de Força Relativa (RSI). Isso desencadeou ordens automáticas de venda e caça a "stop-loss", levando a rápidas flutuações de preço à medida que o mercado testa níveis de suporte inferiores.
A análise acima é um resumo baseado na dinâmica mais recente do mercado de ouro e serve apenas para referência, não constituindo aconselhamento de investimento.
Ouro: histórico de preços e variação anual (%)
2026 gold price forecast
These gold price forecasts for 2026 are based on market research reports from well-known international investment banks and institutions as of the end of 2025.
International institutions are generally optimistic about gold prices in 2026, with their predictions grounded in clear macroeconomic logic: an impending global interest rate cut cycle; unprecedented gold accumulation by central banks worldwide; persistently tight supply; elevated geopolitical risks; and continued growth in investment demand.
At present, a broad market consensus has emerged regarding gold prices. The rise in gold prices is not driven by "emotional fluctuations," but rather reflects a structural, global trend. Over the medium to long term, gold is expected to retain its safe-haven and wealth-preservation attributes, although short-term volatility may remain significant.
Comparison table of gold price forecasts by major institutions
Analysis of gold price trends by major institutions
World Bank
The gold price rally in 2025 was primarily driven by investment demand, supported by geopolitical tensions, macroeconomic concerns, policy uncertainty, Federal Reserve easing, and a weakening dollar.
The World Bank projects that the average gold price will reach $3575 per ounce in 2026; however, the rally may end in 2027. The World Bank forecasts an average gold price of $3375 in 2027, representing a decline of more than 5% compared with 2026.
Bank of America (BofA)
Bank of America is optimistic about gold's medium- to long-term safe-haven attributes and believes gold may benefit from global economic turmoil. Its forecasting model is based on three key drivers: a reversal in the interest rate cycle, continued gold purchases by global central banks, and a widening supply–demand gap.
- 1) The Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting cycle: This is considered the most important engine for price appreciation. Rate cuts lower Treasury yields, increasing the relative attractiveness of gold as a non-yielding asset.
- 2) Aggressive gold purchases by global central banks: This provides long-term support for gold prices. Global trade diversification and escalating geopolitical tensions have led countries to place greater emphasis on reserve asset stability, positioning gold as a strategic reserve asset. Central banks in emerging economies have stated their intention to continue increasing gold holdings.
- 3) Stagnant gold supply growth: Structural scarcity is emerging. Global gold mine production has remained near a plateau for several years, while demand continues to rise. Investment demand is strengthening, industrial gold use (such as in chips and electronic devices) is increasing, and central banks continue to accumulate gold. As a result, the supply–demand gap is widening, supporting higher prices.
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs' gold outlook is supported by several factors, including structural central bank demand and cyclical support from expected Federal Reserve rate cuts. As a result, Goldman Sachs recommends maintaining long-term gold holdings.
Structural central bank demand primarily reflects continued large-scale gold purchases by emerging market central banks as a hedge against geopolitical risks.
Cyclical support from declining U.S. interest rates is mainly reflected in increased diversification by private investors. In particular, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which were net sellers of gold between 2022 and 2024, are now competing with central banks for limited gold reserves.
JPMorgan Chase
Global economic volatility and lower real interest rates will support a continued rise in gold prices.
Standard Chartered Bank
Standard Chartered believes that short-term volatility in the gold market may increase, but the long-term trend remains strong.
UBS
UBS analysts point out that a low-interest-rate environment and heightened geopolitical risks are key factors supporting gold prices.
Gold price review and outlook
What fluctuations have gold prices experienced over the past decade or so?
What has caused fluctuations in gold prices over the past decade or so?
- Federal Reserve rate-hike cycles (2015–2018, 2022–2025): Gold does not generate interest income. When the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, the attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets such as bonds increases, while the opportunity cost of holding gold rises, putting downward pressure on gold prices.
- Quantitative easing and low interest rate environment (2019–2021): To cope with economic recessions (especially the COVID-19 pandemic), central banks worldwide implemented large-scale quantitative easing and ultra-low interest rate policies. These measures pushed real interest rates lower, and in some cases into negative territory, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and stimulating investment demand. This was a major driver behind gold prices reaching record highs in 2020.
- Interest rate cut expectations: Recent market expectations of future Federal Reserve rate cuts have reduced the relative attractiveness of the U.S. dollar, further supporting higher gold prices.
- Regional conflicts and trade tensions: The Russia–Ukraine conflict, tensions in the Middle East, and trade frictions between major global economies have all contributed to rising safe-haven demand, driving up gold prices.
- Economic uncertainty: Gold is seen as a reliable store of value during periods of economic uncertainty. For example, concerns about global economic stagnation at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic triggered strong safe-haven buying of gold.
- Continued central bank purchases: To diversify foreign exchange reserves and reduce overreliance on dollar assets—a trend often referred to as "de-dollarization"—central banks worldwide, particularly in emerging economies such as China, have steadily increased their gold holdings in recent years, providing solid long-term support for gold prices.
- U.S. dollar performance: Gold prices are typically negatively correlated with the U.S. dollar. Persistently high U.S. fiscal deficits and debt ceiling concerns have weakened confidence in the dollar, prompting both investors and central banks to increase their exposure to gold.
Why did gold prices surge by 70% in 2025, repeatedly breaking historical highs?
- Energy and sanctions crisis: The Venezuelan tanker blockade and subsequent disruptions to crude oil supply in the second half of the year triggered panic in commodity markets, leading to a massive influx of safe-haven capital into gold.
- Multiple friction points: In addition to ongoing tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, localized frictions in East Asia intensified in 2025. This kept global risk aversion, as reflected by the VIX index, at persistently high levels and pushed gold prices to repeatedly break through key psychological thresholds.
- Interest rate cuts take effect: With U.S. inflation fluctuating and economic growth slowing, the Federal Reserve implemented several unexpected interest rate cuts during 2025.
- Lower holding costs: Gold does not generate interest. When real interest rates fall significantly and the U.S. dollar index weakens, gold's attractiveness increases exponentially. In 2025, despite a rebound in the U.S. dollar, its dominant position in the global trading system was increasingly questioned, weakening its exclusivity as a reserve asset.
- BRICS reserve adjustments: Emerging market economies, led by BRICS nations, significantly increased the share of gold in their official reserves to reduce dependence on the U.S. dollar system. This form of "rigid demand" provided a strong price floor for gold.
- Demand for financial independence: Faced with the West's frequent use of financial sanctions, central banks realized that gold is the only asset without "counterparty risk."
- Gold–silver ratio correction: With a surge in industrial demand for silver from the AI and photovoltaic sectors (2025 being a major year for AI infrastructure), the doubling of silver prices also drove a rebound in gold prices.
- 1. Unresolved risk aversion: The global geopolitical landscape in 2026—such as the aftermath of the Venezuelan blockade and ongoing tensions in the Middle East—remains highly uncertain. As long as localized conflicts persist, safe-haven demand for gold is likely to continue.
- 2. Downward interest rate trend: If the Federal Reserve continues cutting interest rates in 2026, the cost of holding gold will decline further, encouraging greater institutional allocation.
- 3. Sustained central bank buying: Gold reserve ratios at many central banks worldwide remain significantly lower than those in Europe and the United States, particularly in countries such as China and India. This long-term demand for "replenishment" will provide solid support for gold prices.
What is the expected performance of gold prices by 2030?
- Optimistic forecasts: Some Wall Street analysts predict that gold prices could reach or even exceed $10,000 per ounce by 2030. Other investment banks forecast that, driven by strong inflation and heightened geopolitical risks, gold prices could reach $7000 per ounce or even as high as $8900 per ounce.
- Moderate forecasts: Other projections are more moderate. For example, some international institutions expect gold prices to reach around $5500 per ounce by 2028, while certain bank research institutions forecast prices of approximately $6500 per ounce by 2030.
- Geopolitical uncertainty: Geopolitical tensions, including regional conflicts and strained international relations, are expected to continue driving safe-haven demand, supporting gold prices.
- Persistent inflation: If inflation remains elevated, gold is likely to become more attractive as a hedge against currency devaluation, driving up gold prices.
- Continued central bank gold purchases: Central banks worldwide—particularly in emerging markets—have continued to increase their gold holdings to diversify foreign exchange reserves. This trend is expected to persist, providing structural support for gold prices.
- Monetary policy: The future direction of central bank interest rate policy will have a direct impact on gold prices. If monetary policy remains loose, gold prices will benefit; conversely, if interest rates rise, gold prices will face pressure.
- De-dollarization trend: The global trend toward "de-dollarization" may enhance gold's appeal as a non-sovereign credit asset, further pushing up gold prices.
- Dollar credit concerns: Ongoing concerns about the U.S. dollar's creditworthiness and rising U.S. debt levels could weaken the dollar's status, thereby boosting gold prices.
- If the dollar rebounds, interest rates rise sharply, and the economic focus shifts toward a tightening cycle, gold may face downward pressure.
- Risks related to market sentiment, leverage, ETF redemptions, and significant price pullbacks remain.
- Long-term forecasts inherently carry wide margins of error. With several years remaining until 2030, any black-swan event—such as geopolitical shocks, economic crises, or major policy changes—could materially alter the outlook.
- Therefore, even if the overall trend for gold prices is upward, periods of high-level consolidation and significant volatility are still unavoidable, requiring careful consideration.
Ouro: perguntas frequentes sobre o preço
Qual é o preço do ouro hoje?
Chegará o ouro a US$ 5.000 por onça?
Por que o preço do ouro oscila?
É o momento certo para comprar ouro?
Qual será o valor do ouro daqui a 5 anos?
- US$ 3.700 – US$ 4.300: possível sob tendências típicas do mercado e demanda contínua por ouro enquanto ativo seguro.
- Até US$ 5.000: se a flexibilização monetária continuar e as compras do banco central permanecerem fortes.
- US$ 5.000 – US$ 7.000: possível se a demanda dos investidores permanecer alta e as condições econômicas permanecerem relativamente estáveis.
- Mais de US$ 7.000: pode ocorrer com inflação persistente, taxas de juros mais baixas ou instabilidade geopolítica.